Botafogo SP vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
50.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PPE
1 - 1
BOT
75%
18%
7%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
SAO
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 1
BOT
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 2
PAL
10%
18%
71%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 0
BOT
28%
29%
44%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ITU
1 - 0
OES
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
ITU
82%
13%
5%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
ITU
1 - 1
LIN
54%
25%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
ITU
26%
27%
48%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ITU
0 - 0
LIN
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |