Botafogo SP vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 2
SAO
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 0
BOT
30%
25%
45%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
COM
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
BOT
39%
25%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 1
PEN
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 0
PEN
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 1
ITU
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 1
ATL
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
COM
2 - 0
ITU
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 0
LIN
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |