Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 4-5
Botafogo SP vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1983 |
ATP
2 - 0
BOT
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1983 |
BOT
0 - 0
FER
78%
15%
7%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1983 |
ARN
0 - 1
BOT
23%
29%
48%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
FER
1 - 0
BOT
26%
28%
46%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1983 |
BOT
1 - 0
ARN
80%
14%
7%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1998 |
PAR
2 - 1
FLA
28%
28%
44%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
FLA
2 - 0
AMF
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
FLA
2 - 1
GUA
59%
22%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1998 |
AME
2 - 1
FLA
25%
27%
49%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
VIT
1 - 4
FLA
45%
26%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |