Botafogo SP vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 1
INT
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 2
BOT
31%
24%
45%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
POR
2 - 0
BOT
25%
23%
52%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
BOT
3 - 2
ATL
64%
19%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MIR
2 - 0
BOT
28%
24%
48%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
SAO
0 - 1
FER
31%
25%
45%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
FER
0 - 1
SAO
58%
21%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
JUV
2 - 0
FER
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2007 |
FER
3 - 1
JUV
26%
24%
50%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
GRE
1 - 3
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | +2 |