Botafogo SP vs XV de Novembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
OES
2 - 0
BOT
36%
24%
40%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 0
RIO
66%
19%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
AME
2 - 3
BOT
35%
24%
41%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
OLI
1 - 3
BOT
29%
24%
47%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 1
CAT
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
ECN
0 - 2
SAO
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
MOG
2 - 1
ECN
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
ECN
2 - 2
UNI
49%
23%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
MON
3 - 1
ECN
34%
25%
42%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ECN
0 - 1
SAN
35%
24%
41%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |