Botafogo SP vs XV de Novembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
SEP
3 - 4
BOT
22%
22%
56%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
BOT
0 - 3
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
NAC
3 - 1
BOT
22%
22%
56%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
BOT
6 - 1
UNI
61%
21%
19%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
OSV
0 - 0
BOT
19%
21%
60%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
TAU
2 - 2
ECN
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ECN
1 - 2
NAC
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
COM
0 - 0
ECN
29%
24%
47%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ECN
3 - 0
INT
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
UNI
6 - 0
ECN
28%
23%
49%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -2 |