Botafogo SP vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
BOT
2 - 2
CSA
75%
17%
9%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
FLU
0 - 1
BOT
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1977 |
BOT
1 - 1
OPE
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
BOT
2 - 2
BOT
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1977 |
OPE
0 - 0
BOT
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
BOT
2 - 2
CSA
75%
17%
9%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1977 |
CSA
1 - 2
FLU
18%
24%
59%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1977 |
SPO
3 - 1
CSA
63%
24%
13%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1977 |
TRE
0 - 1
CSA
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
CSA
0 - 1
SAN
26%
29%
45%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |