Botafogo SP vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
55.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 1
BOT
48%
29%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
OES
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CRB
1 - 0
BOT
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
BRA
0 - 0
BOT
49%
29%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
NAU
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 0
BRA
60%
26%
14%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 0
PAR
63%
25%
12%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
AMF
2 - 2
CHA
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
NAU
65%
24%
12%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CHA
3 - 2
CRB
56%
27%
17%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |