Botafogo SP vs Caxias Joinville FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
BOT
1 - 4
SCI
18%
23%
59%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1976 |
PPE
1 - 0
BOT
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
SCI
3 - 0
BOT
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
31%
25%
43%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
BOT
4 - 0
GOI
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
CAX
1 - 2
SAN
45%
23%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
CAX
5 - 1
FFL
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1976 |
AVA
0 - 0
CAX
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1976 |
DES
0 - 0
CAX
36%
29%
35%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
CAX
0 - 0
RIO
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |