Botafogo SP vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
CON
2 - 1
BOT
45%
29%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 2
MIR
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
BOT
37%
30%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 0
ABC
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
PAY
4 - 1
BOT
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
APA
1 - 2
ECS
37%
28%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
APA
54%
26%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
APA
3 - 2
FLO
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FFL
2 - 1
APA
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
APA
0 - 0
VIT
27%
29%
44%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |