Botafogo SP vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
0 - 1
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
NOR
0 - 0
BOT
16%
23%
62%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAO
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 0
BOT
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 1
MON
80%
15%
5%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
AGU
3 - 0
BRA
16%
23%
61%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
COR
2 - 1
AGU
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MIR
6 - 0
AGU
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
AGU
1 - 2
SAO
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 0
AGU
31%
31%
38%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |