Botafogo SP vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
NVE
1 - 2
BOT
23%
23%
54%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MIR
2 - 1
BOT
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 4
COR
16%
27%
57%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
INT
2 - 0
BOT
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 3
PPE
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
GUA
18%
26%
56%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
AGU
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
COR
2 - 0
POR
83%
13%
4%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
POR
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
PPE
23%
27%
51%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |