Botafogo SP vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
BOA
0 - 0
BOT
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
YPI
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
MOG
0 - 0
BOT
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
MAC
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
TOM
3 - 1
BOT
35%
30%
35%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
YPI
1 - 0
POR
45%
27%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
MOG
41%
27%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 0
POR
46%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
POR
0 - 2
TOM
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
POR
21%
24%
56%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |