Botafogo SP II vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
73.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
BSP
6 - 1
RIO
33%
23%
43%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 4
BSP
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 2
NOV
18%
25%
57%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 2
MAR
73%
19%
9%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 0
MAR
62%
24%
14%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
1 - 3
NOV
17%
22%
61%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
2 - 0
SAO
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |