Botafogo SP II vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
BSP
1 - 1
SAO
34%
23%
44%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 1
BSP
42%
23%
35%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BSP
1 - 3
MAR
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
COM
1 - 3
BSP
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
BSP
0 - 1
SER
54%
23%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
FRA
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
MON
34%
25%
42%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MON
4 - 2
XVD
13%
21%
66%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
CAP
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PRI
4 - 0
MON
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -2 |