Botafogo SP II vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
22.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo SP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
BSP
28%
23%
49%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
BSP
0 - 2
MON
48%
24%
29%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
BSP
1 - 1
SAO
34%
23%
44%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 1
BSP
42%
23%
35%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BSP
1 - 3
MAR
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
FRA
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
COM
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
MON
34%
25%
42%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TAU
2 - 1
COM
56%
24%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
COM
1 - 2
JUV
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |