Copa do Brasil . 1/16
Global 3-1
Botafogo vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 2
BOT
47%
26%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
BOT
3 - 1
UNI
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BOT
5 - 1
JUV
69%
20%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
ATL
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CRZ
3 - 2
BOT
37%
27%
36%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CRZ
3 - 1
VIT
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 2
BAH
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 1
PAL
28%
27%
46%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIT
67%
19%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 2
BAH
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |