Botafogo vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
BOT
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
GOI
2 - 0
BOT
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
BOT
6 - 0
CRI
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 0
BOT
29%
28%
43%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 2
SCI
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 3
ATM
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 1
PAL
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIT
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FLU
1 - 2
VIT
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 2
ATP
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |