Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 2
BOT
48%
27%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 2
BOT
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 2
COT
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
BOT
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
FLA
0 - 0
BOT
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 0
AVA
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
VAS
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
VAS
2 - 1
SPO
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
VAS
2 - 5
COR
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 0
VAS
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |