Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
NOV
2 - 6
BOT
15%
22%
64%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 0
VAS
44%
23%
34%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 1
VOL
82%
12%
6%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
AME
2 - 1
BOT
18%
23%
60%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 0
CEA
80%
14%
7%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
CAB
2 - 1
VAS
11%
17%
72%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
VAS
1 - 2
GAM
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 0
VAS
44%
23%
34%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
VAS
0 - 0
AME
86%
11%
3%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
VAS
3 - 0
FLA
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |