Botafogo vs Universitario Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BOT
5 - 1
JUV
69%
20%
12%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
ATL
49%
24%
27%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CRZ
3 - 2
BOT
37%
27%
36%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
LIG
1 - 0
BOT
24%
26%
50%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 3
JUN
76%
16%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
COM
1 - 2
UNI
26%
28%
46%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SBO
1 - 2
UNI
25%
29%
46%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
JUN
1 - 1
UNI
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALI
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
LIG
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |