Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Botafogo vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
COR
54%
25%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
FOR
49%
24%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 0
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 2
BOT
49%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
4 - 1
FLA
49%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CRZ
0 - 1
SAO
47%
26%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ATM
0 - 0
SAO
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 0
SAO
50%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 1
ATM
45%
26%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 1
VIT
55%
25%
20%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |