Botafogo vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
34.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 4
BOT
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
BAH
2 - 1
BOT
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
AMF
58%
25%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
FLU
1 - 0
BOT
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 1
CRZ
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
AMF
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAO
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
BAH
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
ATM
1 - 0
SAO
54%
24%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLU
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |