Botafogo vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 3
SAN
32%
26%
43%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 2
GRE
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 3
BOT
13%
21%
66%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
GOI
49%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
VOT
85%
12%
4%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
XVD
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAO
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAO
18%
25%
57%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 1
JUV
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TAU
0 - 0
SAO
15%
24%
61%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | -1 |