Botafogo vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.9%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
14%
3-0
16.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.8%
2.3%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
BOT
40%
27%
33%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
BOT
7%
21%
72%
|
90 | 52 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
BRA
53%
23%
24%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 4
BOT
54%
24%
22%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
6 - 0
AUR
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
BOT
7%
21%
72%
|
52 | 90 | 38 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 4
SAM
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
BOA
3 - 2
SAM
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
BAN
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 1
MAD
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |