Botafogo vs Portuguesa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
15.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
18.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
21.2%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.2%
2.9%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 2
CRZ
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 0
BOT
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 0
BOT
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 2
ATL
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 1
ATP
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2018 |
POR
2 - 2
POR
59%
24%
17%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
BOA
1 - 0
POR
39%
26%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
POR
0 - 1
BOA
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
ITA
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
URT
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |