Botafogo vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.6%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
3.1%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 1
MAD
88%
9%
3%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CAB
0 - 5
BOT
11%
20%
70%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 1
DUQ
84%
12%
5%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
GRE
3 - 0
BOT
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
BOT
3 - 1
GRÊ
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
OLA
2 - 0
CAB
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
FLU
6 - 2
OLA
85%
11%
4%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
OLA
1 - 0
MAD
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
OLA
1 - 2
MAD
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
RES
2 - 0
OLA
41%
25%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -2 |