Botafogo vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 4
BOT
12%
18%
70%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
AME
2 - 1
BOT
39%
25%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
BOT
2 - 1
VOL
82%
13%
6%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
FRI
1 - 0
BOT
19%
23%
58%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
POR
0 - 1
BOT
9%
16%
75%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
AME
2 - 1
OLA
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
OLA
0 - 1
MAD
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
OLA
2 - 2
FLU
18%
22%
60%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
CAB
3 - 2
OLA
24%
24%
53%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
FLA
0 - 3
OLA
79%
15%
6%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +2 |