Botafogo vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
PAL
4 - 1
BOT
67%
19%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
BOT
3 - 1
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
SPO
3 - 1
BOT
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
BOT
3 - 1
SPO
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 0
BOT
25%
25%
51%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
BAN
0 - 0
OLA
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
OLA
2 - 0
FLA
12%
20%
68%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
VOL
1 - 1
OLA
42%
24%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
OLA
1 - 3
VAS
11%
17%
72%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
OLA
1 - 2
AME
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |