Botafogo vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 1
FFL
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
BOT
18%
26%
56%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
CEA
0 - 0
BOT
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
BOT
5 - 0
SAM
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
MAC
4 - 2
BOT
20%
27%
53%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
NAU
0 - 2
FLA
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
MOG
2 - 1
NAU
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 1
OES
49%
25%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
ABC
3 - 3
NAU
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |