Botafogo vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
CRZ
1 - 3
BOT
52%
24%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 0
COT
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
SAO
4 - 0
BOT
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 0
FLA
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ATM
3 - 2
BOT
52%
24%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 1
VAS
24%
27%
50%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CRZ
3 - 0
NAU
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 2
FFL
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 0
NAU
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 0
BAH
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |