Botafogo vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLA
43%
25%
33%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
CCP
2 - 1
BOT
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CRZ
1 - 0
BOT
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
BOT
2 - 2
AVA
65%
20%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
BOT
3 - 1
ATM
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
NAU
2 - 1
GRÊ
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
VIT
3 - 1
NAU
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
NAU
3 - 0
PAL
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2009 |
SCI
3 - 1
NAU
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
NAU
1 - 2
SAO
27%
27%
47%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |