Botafogo vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
ATM
2 - 5
BOT
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
VAS
1 - 1
BOT
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 0
CRZ
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
SPO
0 - 1
BOT
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
BOT
3 - 1
ATM
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
NAU
1 - 1
GRE
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2008 |
NAU
1 - 3
FLU
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
GOI
3 - 0
NAU
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
ATP
2 - 0
NAU
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |