Botafogo vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2007 |
BOT
4 - 0
VAS
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
PAL
1 - 1
BOT
53%
23%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
BOT
3 - 0
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
FLA
2 - 2
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2007 |
BOT
3 - 1
FFL
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
NAU
4 - 4
PAR
36%
24%
40%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
SCI
2 - 0
NAU
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
NAU
2 - 2
VAS
31%
23%
46%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAO
23%
24%
53%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
ATM
2 - 1
NAU
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |