Botafogo vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 2
BOT
23%
24%
53%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
BOT
4 - 1
REM
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
REM
3 - 2
BOT
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2003 |
BOT
3 - 1
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
NAU
2 - 4
BOT
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2003 |
NAU
2 - 2
REM
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
4 - 1
NAU
39%
26%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
NAU
1 - 2
MAR
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2003 |
REM
2 - 3
NAU
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
NAU
2 - 4
BOT
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |