Botafogo vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOT
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BOA
0 - 1
BOT
12%
21%
67%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VAS
1 - 1
BOT
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
FLU
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
CAB
79%
16%
6%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
MAD
83%
13%
4%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RES
0 - 0
MAD
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 1
MAD
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 0
MAC
37%
26%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MAD
2 - 1
POR
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |