Botafogo vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
10%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
3.4%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
BOA
1 - 2
BOT
14%
20%
66%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
PAL
0 - 1
BOT
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 3
FFL
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 2
ATP
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
GOI
3 - 1
BOT
46%
25%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 0
VOL
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAC
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 0
BOA
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
LIN
2 - 2
MAC
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
MAC
3 - 0
LIN
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |