Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
Botafogo vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 0
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BAH
1 - 2
BOT
42%
28%
30%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
PPE
2 - 1
BOT
44%
29%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 0
FLA
43%
26%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 0
GRE
23%
26%
51%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
GRE
5 - 0
SPO
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
CRZ
2 - 0
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
CRZ
1 - 0
GRE
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 0
ATP
69%
20%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |