Botafogo vs Grêmio analysis

Botafogo Grêmio
78 ELO 84
-0.7% Tilt -8%
162º General ELO ranking 152º
25º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
32.9%
Botafogo
26.8%
Draw
40.3%
Grêmio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
Botafogo
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.3%
Win probability
Grêmio
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Botafogo
+8%
-5%
Grêmio

ELO progression

Botafogo
Grêmio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Botafogo
Botafogo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2016
BOT
Botafogo
2 - 5
Cruzeiro
CRZ
37%
27%
36%
78 84 6 0
30 Aug. 2016
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
1 - 0
Botafogo
BOT
46%
27%
27%
79 79 0 -1
21 Aug. 2016
BOT
Botafogo
3 - 0
Sport Recife
SPO
46%
27%
28%
78 77 1 +1
14 Aug. 2016
SAO
São Paulo
0 - 1
Botafogo
BOT
54%
25%
21%
78 80 2 0
05 Aug. 2016
PPE
Ponte Preta
2 - 0
Botafogo
BOT
48%
26%
26%
78 78 0 0

Matches

Grêmio
Grêmio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2016
GRE
Grêmio
1 - 1
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
43%
26%
31%
85 85 0 0
25 Aug. 2016
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
0 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
33%
28%
39%
84 80 4 +1
21 Aug. 2016
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
38%
27%
35%
85 81 4 -1
14 Aug. 2016
GRE
Grêmio
3 - 0
Corinthians
COR
36%
28%
36%
84 88 4 +1
05 Aug. 2016
GRE
Grêmio
0 - 0
Santa Cruz
SAN
69%
20%
11%
84 74 10 0