Botafogo vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOT
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 1
PPE
69%
19%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLA
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 2
BAH
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
CRZ
3 - 0
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 0
GRE
13%
23%
64%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
ATP
54%
24%
23%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 0
NOV
82%
14%
5%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
GRE
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
COR
0 - 0
GRE
48%
27%
25%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |