Botafogo vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
11%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
3.8%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
BOT
24%
27%
50%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOT
54%
23%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 0
DUQ
86%
11%
4%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
TRE
86%
11%
4%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 1
VAS
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FRI
1 - 1
MAD
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
OLA
1 - 2
FRI
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FRI
0 - 1
FLA
14%
21%
65%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 1
FRI
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FRI
0 - 0
RES
41%
24%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |