Botafogo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
BOT
37%
28%
36%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
BAH
2 - 0
BOT
49%
27%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 2
SAO
42%
28%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CEA
0 - 0
BOT
39%
28%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 1
ATM
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FLU
2 - 1
GRE
27%
28%
45%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 1
SAN
34%
28%
39%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
GOI
3 - 0
FLU
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 0
COR
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
PAL
3 - 0
FLU
75%
17%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |