Botafogo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BOT
3 - 2
RES
83%
13%
4%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
POR
1 - 4
BOT
10%
22%
69%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
BAN
0 - 2
BOT
9%
21%
70%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 3
FLU
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
VAS
0 - 0
BOT
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
FLU
2 - 0
LFC
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FLU
1 - 1
FLA
46%
25%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
MAD
2 - 2
FLU
8%
17%
75%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 0
MAC
88%
9%
2%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 3
FLU
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |