Botafogo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ATM
0 - 0
BOT
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 1
COR
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 1
BOT
28%
30%
42%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 0
BOT
36%
30%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 1
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
FLA
3 - 3
FLU
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
FLU
1 - 1
BAH
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
FLU
0 - 1
FLA
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
FLU
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 1
SAO
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |