Botafogo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 5
CRZ
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
ATP
1 - 0
BOT
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
BOT
3 - 0
SPO
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 1
BOT
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FLU
3 - 2
FFL
62%
23%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 1
COR
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FLU
0 - 2
PAL
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
FLU
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 0
AMF
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |