Botafogo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
CAB
79%
16%
6%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
RES
0 - 1
BOT
16%
22%
62%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
MAC
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
POR
76%
17%
7%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 2
BOT
12%
20%
68%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 2
FLA
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
CRZ
3 - 4
FLU
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FLU
4 - 0
TIG
87%
10%
3%
|
80 | 39 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
MAD
3 - 3
FLU
11%
20%
69%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
FLU
4 - 0
BON
85%
12%
3%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |