Botafogo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 2
MAD
89%
8%
3%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 1
CAB
88%
9%
3%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
VAS
2 - 3
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2008 |
BOT
6 - 2
MES
91%
7%
2%
|
82 | 40 | 42 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
BOT
3 - 0
AME
88%
9%
3%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
FLA
1 - 4
FLU
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
FLU
6 - 1
AME
86%
11%
3%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2008 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOA
84%
12%
4%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
FLU
5 - 1
VOL
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
FLU
2 - 2
MAC
83%
13%
5%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |