Botafogo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
PAL
4 - 1
BOT
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
BOT
0 - 1
FFL
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 0
BOT
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
BOT
3 - 2
JUV
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
BOT
2 - 0
ATP
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
FLU
0 - 1
PAR
60%
22%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
COR
0 - 1
FLU
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2005 |
FLU
0 - 0
PAU
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
FLU
3 - 0
SCI
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2005 |
PAU
2 - 0
FLU
30%
25%
46%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |