Botafogo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
40.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
BOT
4 - 1
BAN
57%
23%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 1
VAS
25%
24%
51%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
BOT
0 - 2
COR
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
POR
1 - 2
BOT
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
AME
2 - 1
BOT
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
FLU
4 - 1
ARN
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
FRI
0 - 3
FLU
15%
21%
65%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
CAX
1 - 3
FLU
21%
22%
57%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
FLA
4 - 3
FLU
52%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2004 |
FLU
3 - 0
CAB
88%
9%
3%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |