Botafogo vs Flamengo analysis

Botafogo Flamengo
89 ELO 90
-0.9% Tilt -15.5%
162º General ELO ranking 127º
25º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
37.7%
Botafogo
25.2%
Draw
37.1%
Flamengo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
Botafogo
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.1%
Win probability
Flamengo
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Botafogo
+11%
+16%
Flamengo

Points and table prediction

Botafogo
Their league position
Flamengo
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
66
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Palmeiras
70
70
100%
Grêmio
68
68
100%
Atl. Mineiro
66
66
0%
Flamengo
66
66
0%
Botafogo
64
64
100%
RB Bragantino
62
62
100%
Athletico Paranaense
56
56
0%
Fluminense
56
56
0%
Internacional
55
55
100%
São Paulo
10º
53
53
10º
100%
Fortaleza EC
11º
52
52
11º
100%
Cuiabá
12º
51
51
12º
100%
Corinthians
13º
50
50
13º
100%
Cruzeiro
14º
47
47
14º
100%
Vasco da Gama
15º
45
45
15º
100%
Bahía
16º
44
44
16º
100%
Santos FC
17º
44
44
17º
100%
Goiás EC
18º
38
38
18º
100%
Coritiba
19º
30
30
19º
100%
América Mineiro
20º
24
24
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Botafogo
Flamengo
Champion
0% 0%
CONMEBOL Libertadores
0% 100%
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
100% 0%
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Botafogo
Flamengo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Botafogo
Botafogo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2023
DYJ
Defensa y Justicia
2 - 1
Botafogo
BOT
35%
27%
38%
89 85 4 0
27 Aug. 2023
BOT
Botafogo
3 - 0
Bahía
BAH
68%
20%
12%
89 83 6 0
24 Aug. 2023
BOT
Botafogo
1 - 1
Defensa y Justicia
DYJ
59%
22%
19%
89 85 4 0
19 Aug. 2023
SAO
São Paulo
0 - 0
Botafogo
BOT
56%
24%
21%
89 90 1 0
13 Aug. 2023
BOT
Botafogo
3 - 1
Internacional
SCI
47%
27%
26%
88 89 1 +1

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
0 - 0
Internacional
SCI
58%
24%
19%
90 89 1 0
20 Aug. 2023
COT
Coritiba
2 - 3
Flamengo
FLA
15%
22%
63%
90 79 11 0
17 Aug. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 0
Grêmio
GRE
59%
23%
19%
89 88 1 +1
13 Aug. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 1
São Paulo
SAO
48%
25%
27%
89 90 1 0
11 Aug. 2023
OLI
Olimpia
3 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
19%
22%
60%
90 80 10 -1